Every day of the 2022 baseball season, I’ll be watching the list of today’s and tomorrow’s scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their games for your fantasy baseball streams.
There’s a lot in there and you can hang out with me on Twitch.tv/pitcherlist to talk about specific ranks because I do them every weekday morning from 9am-12pm ET. If you have any questions about these ranks, please ask them during the morning Twitch AMA. These are my office hours as I generally do not respond to comments on the site.
There are four levels in these rankings with 12 teams in the lead:
Automatic start – Just do it. Don’t think too much about it, the man begins.
Probably start – I will probably start these weapons, although I recognize that there is more risk than we would like. Either it’s a tough game for a good pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm.
Doubtful start – There are situations where I would take the risk, either with a strong enough advantage on the ability side, or a bad offense that a caster could take advantage of.
Do not start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t.
Obviously there will be circumstances where pitchers would have to move between teams for your specific situation and these new levels should act as a little more help than last year’s straight table.
Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect game. In fact, if they work more than half the time, I would consider that a success. These rankings and streamer picks are going to be very different from the actual results throughout the year, so please have some sympathy ahead of the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!
Be sure to read the notes if you wonder why I favor some pitchers over others – I won’t go to everyone and hopefully answer any questions you have.
There is a second table for tomorrow start pitcher clashes as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nighttime pick-ups. Please note that these matches are subject to change, however, and there will be be times when I have the wrong pitcher. Thank you for your future understanding.
Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I have to choose a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are second level and I would ride with them anywhere. The most common are those of Yellow in the third tier and should be decent if you are looking for Something on a given day. Finally, these are Red are the ones I really don’t want to start (they’re labeled as “Don’t Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you’re really desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “registered in 20% or fewer leagues”, which really highlights the fact that I would be happy if more than 50% of them worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% list, but that’s no fun. You can use the leaderboards to figure out who those picks would be instead.
While I’m doing my ranking, I thought it would be helpful to present a chart of how we rank offences. Dave Swan makes a incredible job of showcasing future SP matchups every 2-3 weeks in this article, and I’ve chosen to use his offensive ranks to share with you all here:
Dave Swan’s Early Season Offensive Levels
I’m sure that will change over the course of the year + there are differences between teams versus LHP or RHP, but it’s a great overall picture that you should all keep in mind.
Alright, let’s go.
Broadcast record in 2022: 2-1
Ranking of today’s starting pitchers
- It’s a day of weird rankings and I want to make one major point today – the first week or two of the season will have many starters having fewer innings than normal – guys just aren’t still quite reassembled and the managers are careful with their rotations. Not everyone is Robbie Ray go out for the seventh.
- That means you got guys like Anthony DeSclafani, Zach Eflin, and steven matz being pushed into the top five games (Eflin can be streamed!) – all have a high chance of going at least five frames against weak rosters. It matters a lot right now.
- At level two you have Hyun Jin Ryu and Cal Quantrill get decent matches. Not quite the Marlins, Pirates, A’s of high tier weapons, but I think Ryu can ward off rangers better than the early blast of Jose Berrios Friday, while Quantrill can be quite good against the Royals.
- Sandwiched between them is Tarik Skubal, who faces a strong White Sox team. I think it’s stretched enough to make it worth it and if you’ve got it, you’ll be dreaming of its four-seam top with strong secondaries down. It’s controversial given Chicago’s strength against southpaws and I respect anyone who wants to sit it down instead.
- In the third level, we have so many arms that either have a tough game – Tanner Houck, Jordan Montgomery, Julio Urías – or can’t be trusted to go very long in the game – Michael Kopech, Ian Anderson, Bailey Ober (may be…?), HunterGreen, and again Houck + Urías. This does not allow for a confident start among the crew.
- I wonder if Corey Kluber, Marco Gonzales, and Carlos Carrasco have enough in the tank to go through five frames at the start of this year. Or damn, are even quite well produce through them. They’re not the worst matchups for any of them, and they’re curious options if you really want to hunt him down.
- There’s a ton of hype around HunterGreen, although I am personally seated. Its 100+ mph speed comes with a weirdly knockable heater and the secondaries aren’t fully developed yet. I don’t see a 5-6 inning guy here, especially in the short term against Atlanta.
- I know it sounds silly, but Caleb Smith looked decent in the spring, earned a rotation spot and faced a San Diego Padres team that hasn’t done much to Arizona’s starters so far. I can’t get rid of the idea that he does well here.
- On the lower level, there is not much to see. I lifted Eric Fedde and Antonio Senzatela at the top of the level, but you really shouldn’t do that.
- And the other guys? Please. Don’t.
Ranking of today’s starting pitchers
Ranking of tomorrow’s starting pitchers
- With all the aces going earlier in the spin, we only have two automatic starts in Alex Wood and Alek Manoah for Monday – even if they don’t face weak opponents. I trust Manoah to provide strikeouts if nothing else, while Wood (even with his last rocky outing of the spring) should be strong against the Padres.
- Generally, with few aces games, this means there are sneaky arms to grab that may not be strongly aligned. Monday is no exception.
- If I felt Ranger Suarez was fully worked and capable of 75+ shots, I’d probably have him in the top tier against the Mets. For now, it sits in the second because we’ll probably start it again.
- Luis Patino surprisingly, it is registered in only 10% of the leagues, which allows it to be our streaming choice of the day. I’m afraid he’s limited by the Rays in this one, but that concern affects virtually everyone in today’s standings. That aside, he faces the poor Athletics offense and could be a great play for a win.
- I had a hard time classifying Dakota Hudson, Nick Martinez, and Michael Lorenzen, three alternative broadcast options. Hudson and Lorenzen could each walk through lines of pedestrians, while I think Martínez has the ability to comfortably walk more than 5 frames all year round. If he faced the Marlins, he would be the pick of the day.
- On the third level, everyone here is worthy of a deep stream if you need it. I wonder how the Taylor Hearn vs. Austin Gomber the game is going to be played – are the Rangers really a great attack? – as Hearn might benefit Rocky Mountain Road in a park suitable for launchers.
- I would also watch Elieser Hernandez and Carlos Hernandez. Elieser was served the toughest toss, but his slider could make for a solid outing against the Angels.
- Meanwhile, if Carlos’ command is in order, he could easily slice through the Guardians with 96+ mph heaters and two heavy circuit breakers.
- In the last level, I’m curious how Jameson Taillon will watch with his sldier and curveball, but I don’t want to touch that against the mighty Blue Jays.
- Will be by Dylan Bundy is the speed over 90? Will it rely heavily on sliders? I’m very skeptical of both and the Mariners could punish him quickly.
- Finally, I’m afraid of The Taijuan Walker reduced speed associated with a barking knee. I would avoid it until further notice.
Ranking of tomorrow’s starting pitchers
Featured image by Drew Wheeler (@drewisokay on Twitter)