Every day of the 2022 baseball season, I’ll be watching the list of today’s and tomorrow’s scheduled starting pitchers and ranking their games for your fantasy baseball streams.
There’s a lot in there and you can hang out with me on Twitch.tv/pitcherlist to talk about specific ranks because I do them every weekday morning from 9am-12pm ET. If you have any questions about these ranks, please ask them during the morning Twitch AMA. These are my office hours as I generally do not respond to comments on the site.
There are four levels in these rankings with 12 teams in the lead:
Automatic start – Just do it. Don’t think too much about it, the man begins.
Probably start – I will probably start these weapons, although I recognize that there is more risk than we would like. Either it’s a tough game for a good pitcher or a weak lineup for a volatile arm.
Doubtful start – There are situations where I would take the risk, either with a strong enough advantage on the ability side, or a bad offense that a caster could take advantage of.
Do not start – The reward is not worth the risk. Don’t.
Obviously there will be circumstances where pitchers would have to move between teams for your specific situation and these new levels should act as a little more help than last year’s straight table.
Please keep in mind that streaming is far from a perfect game. In fact, if they work more than half the time, I would consider that a success. These rankings and streamer picks are going to be very different from the actual results throughout the year, so please have some sympathy ahead of the scathing comments and tweets. I’m only trying to help!
Be sure to read the notes if you wonder why I favor some pitchers over others – I won’t go to everyone and hopefully answer any questions you have.
There is a second table for tomorrow start pitcher clashes as well, helping everyone get a jump on their nighttime pick-ups. Please note that these matches are subject to change, however, and there will be be times when I have the wrong pitcher. Thank you for your future understanding.
Finally, there are my streaming picks of the day, and please keep in mind that I have to choose a streamer every day. Those highlighted in Green are second level and I would ride with them anywhere. The most common are those of Yellow in the third tier and should be decent if you are looking for Something on a given day. Finally, these are Red are the ones I really don’t want to start (they’re labeled as “Don’t Start”, after all) but have no other choice. Don’t stream these guys until you’re really desperate. A streaming pick is defined as “registered in 20% or fewer leagues”, which really highlights the fact that I would be happy if more than 50% of them worked. I could do the whole sub 30/40% list, but that’s no fun. You can use the leaderboards to figure out who those picks would be instead.
While I’m doing my ranking, I thought it would be helpful to present a chart of how we rank offences. Dave Swan makes a incredible job of showcasing future SP matchups every 2-3 weeks in this article, and I’ve chosen to use his offensive ranks to share with you all here:
Swan’s Early Season Offensive Levels
I’m sure that will change over the course of the year + there are differences between teams versus LHP or RHP, but it’s a great overall picture that you should all keep in mind.
Alright, let’s go.
Broadcast record in 2022: 15-7
Ranking of today’s starting pitchers
- It looks like athletics will jump Adam Oller to leave Frankie Montas start a day earlier in the rotation after Thursday’s matchday. Make sure he’s in your lineup because he’s navigated to start the season.
- After coming back from IL and throwing almost 80 pitches, you should feel very comfortable to start Lucas Giolito, even if he confronts the Angels.
- Despite some ups and downs so far, I’m rolling Adam Wainwright confidently on Friday. It’s the Diamondbacks, y’all.
- Finally, it is called TYLORD MEGILL. The Phillies are a solid team and it doesn’t matter to me because he’s sitting at 96 mph. Let him do his thing.
- The second level could be rearranged to your liking, and I chose to lead with Tanner Houck. We’ve yet to see his cursor do the wonderful things we know he is capable of, but the Orioles could be paving the streets for his arrival.
- It’s not the best match for Noah Syndergaard against the White Sox, but you’d be hard pressed to find a manager do not starting him off given his excellent start to 2022.
- The last two startups have shown the volatility of Matt Brash, but I wouldn’t be too discouraged. We’ll see a bit of ripple this year and we need to stay disciplined so that the highs outweigh the lows – especially against the Marlins (even though they started hot!).
- Normally a start for Kyle Hendricks against the Brewers would lift him higher in the ranks, but Hendricks has already shown his low floor this year, adding a pinch of worry that we wish weren’t there.
- As for our questionable entries, it is a great deal of unease. Aaron Civale was not lively and carried a reduced speed… but it is Athletics. That’s your call there.
- It is the same Ian Anderson who struggled terribly with his command. The ceiling is tall, while the Rangers might make it difficult to reach.
- We were all surprised to see Dylan Bundy remove homers so far this season, though that could change quickly against the Rays. It’s a Vargas rule at best and your choice if you want to follow it.
- With Tyler Anderson getting a chance for the Dodgers in the rotation, he could provide value against the Tigers over the weekend. Don’t forget that Anderson is a Toby at best, the reward may not be worth the risk.
- The final tier includes a few names that could accomplish much more than the leaderboard suggests. Hunter Greene heads for Coors after his questionable 96mph outing, but if he performs at his peak he could still thrive in the mile high town.
- If you are looking for a quality departure, Adrian Houser has a chance of succeeding against the Cubs. This is his passing lead and if you want to bet on Chicago’s slowing offense, be my guest.
- Kyle Bradish gets the call from the Orioles and makes his MLB debut on Friday. Expect him to sit 94/95 (or harder, MLB debuts can add a tick or two of adrenaline) with a solid one cutter. My very brief and totally not good review of him from the spring has Bradish as the Orioles’ best pitcher right now, as someone who might be a little better than a Toby. Like a Merrill Kelly kind of arm.
Ranking of today’s starting pitchers
Ranking of tomorrow’s starting pitchers
- A lot of good guns go down on Saturday, where I expect you’ll have very few disagreements with those listed in the top tier today.
- Okay, Jesus Luzardo and Jose Berrios have two tough matchups as the Mariners are No. 3 in wRC+ and the Astros are never an easy outing. However, Berríos is the big undulator where the opponent matters little to his success and Luzardo is performing too well for any manager to consider benching him at the moment.
- I can see that some want Miles Mikolas only to be pushed into the top tier as he faces Arizona’s poor offense. I have no problem with it, I kept it in the second tier as I recognize Mikolas’ reliance on BABIP to gain its benefits. This opens the door to a lower floor than the other options.
- Joining Mikolas is Merrill Kelly on the other side of the ball. Kelly has proven himself to be a Toby and could continue on its way thanks to its new change.
- The third level starts with Luis Garcia as he is scheduled for a date in Toronto. Garcia has been throwing harder lately, reinventing himself as the first fastball arm who could be his best if his cutter and slider replicate their 2021 success. That said, it’s the Jays for a second straight start and he there are a lot of risks there.
- cole irvin is our reluctant stream of the day against the Guardians. He is a Toby and the Guardians are an average crew. This may be the Quality Start you are looking for.
- I know I know, justin steel on the third level is weird. Of course, ignore it if you want, I recognize that Steele could go 5+ against poor Milwaukee formation.
- Kyle Gibson has had some success recently, although he has a challenge against the Mets. It’s up to you if you want to shoot it.
- The lower level could be split in two with the lower crew (starting towards Bryce Elder) being very easy to avoid while the first four have some intriguing cases to grab your attention.
- It’s up to the soldiers. JT Brubaker, Chad Kuhl, and Dane Dunning each has posted a much better slider recently relying on the pitch. Unfortunately, they’re in a tough spot for Saturday, with Kuhl at Coors, Dunning against Atlanta and Coffee Cakes getting the Padres.
- And hey, may be Chris Archer still has it as he faces his former crew. He certainly looks like the best we’ve seen of him in ages. Am I concerned that his fastball only sits at 93/94 mph? Absolutely. There is still an outside chance, however.
Ranking of tomorrow’s starting pitchers
Featured image by Drew Wheeler (@drewisokay on Twitter)